Monday, February 18, 2008

The Importance of Observations (HA)

In the first hand here I was being very attentive and made a note of how the villian here played his Kings from the BB. For the most part he was fairly passive, even having one of the dominating chipstacks that he had made with a big full house over a little full house and an easy AA shortstack all-in call.

Full Tilt Poker, $5 + $0.50 NL Hold'em Sit n' Go, 50/100 Blinds, 5 Players - Hand History Converter

BB: 3,945
UTG: 2,330
CO: 3,840
Hero (BTN): 1,780
SB: 1,605

Pre-Flop: (150) 9h 5h dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, CO calls 100, Hero folds, SB calls 50, BB raises to 400, CO calls 300, SB folds

Flop: (900) 7c 9c Th (2 Players)
BB bets 500, CO raises to 3,440 and is All-In, BB calls 2,940
Turn: (7,780) 7d (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
River: (7,780) 7s (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 7,780 Pot
BB showed Kd Kh (a full house, Sevens full of Kings) and WON 7,780 (+3,940 NET)
CO showed Kc Ts (a full house, Sevens full of Tens) and LOST (-3,840 NET)

So a little while later and we're down to 3. I managed to kinda sneak into the money and am now getting a little more aggressive trying to steal some blinds and keep being a threat. Our villian is in the BB here again, and has remained fairly passive instead of being the big-stack bully. Button has been pretty tricky throughout the SNG but also pretty loose. I'm wary of a possible limp-call with a wide range of hands from him if I push here, and elect to just see a cheap flop and hope to catch someone with a set. See how it goes...

Full Tilt Poker, $5 + $0.50 NL Hold'em Sit n' Go, 120/240 Blinds, 3 Players - Hand History Converter

BB: 7,265
BTN: 3,435
Hero (SB): 2,800

Pre-Flop: (360) 6c 6d dealt to Hero (SB)
BTN calls 240, Hero calls 120, BB raises to 1,000, BTN folds, Hero raises to 2,800 and is All-In, BB calls 1,800
Flop: (5,840) Td 4s 8c (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
Turn: (5,840) Ks (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
River: (5,840) Kh (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 5,840 Pot
BB showed Qs Qh (two pair, Kings and Queens) and WON 5,840 (+3,040 NET)
Hero showed 6c 6d (two pair, Kings and Sixes) and LOST (-2,800 NET)

Basically here I was putting our villian on a strong hand, given his earlier 4xBB raise from the BB with Kings, but I was also factoring in about a 10% chance of a somewhat passive steal attempt (slightly less possible given his play) and really hoping to see AK or AQ and survive a flip to get back in it. There was also a small chance that I would've pushed him out, but if he's on anything but a total rag steal attempt he'd know enough to call, so basically I was hoping for just the overs and a coinflip.

Moral of the story: should've stuck with what I had seen and observed, thought about it more and realized the likelihood of him having me in really bad shape with an overpair was much higher, and made the easy laydown in this spot rather than the desperation push and pray for a race.

My decision to just call the BB is another discussion, but we'll save that for another day.

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